Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 83.506913 93.387733 103.451149 114.436360 126.059850 137.964079 151.048772
2025-08-31 67.229713 81.402831 96.453493 113.499437 132.148822 151.822927 174.039705
2025-09-07 58.660320 75.359140 93.636344 114.868612 138.615444 164.141953 193.448059
2025-09-14 52.365837 70.949224 91.836599 116.626966 144.857323 175.660168 211.481166
2025-09-21 45.791390 65.490313 88.224314 115.767619 147.664526 182.945008 224.446692
2025-09-28 39.457038 59.719036 83.743945 113.449553 148.410890 187.578964 234.144642
2025-10-05 37.296260 58.834110 84.871564 117.524267 156.378332 200.280844 252.840172
2025-10-12 34.660503 57.099812 84.774084 119.976194 162.319670 210.563677 268.708599
2025-10-19 30.927583 53.639699 82.308839 119.368046 164.484205 216.355873 279.327055
2025-10-26 27.608378 50.463246 79.990247 118.759312 166.499444 221.856464 289.510479
2025-11-02 25.162510 48.288299 78.802945 119.426544 169.949142 228.960516 301.491246
2025-11-09 22.343867 45.359188 76.461826 118.502687 171.351066 233.559568 310.479170
2025-11-16 20.165352 43.221875 75.091256 118.774792 174.221507 239.940849 321.631892
2025-11-23 17.700573 40.445624 72.711410 117.634719 175.263073 244.081144 330.110216
2025-11-30 16.303204 39.204038 72.355480 119.062587 179.455372 251.973659 343.004882
2025-12-07 15.137900 38.233654 72.311798 120.852165 184.068372 260.354817 356.471592
2025-12-14 13.303933 35.984895 70.333950 119.975962 185.238025 264.501229 364.845179
2025-12-21 11.253982 33.139917 67.339947 117.609740 184.411358 266.135002 370.146093
2025-12-28 11.033812 33.547929 69.137535 121.768608 191.974831 278.082525 387.876977
2026-01-04 10.425409 33.182112 69.744070 124.270553 197.386830 287.376332 402.410956
2026-01-11 9.145102 31.410029 68.138248 123.650040 198.700413 291.571121 410.753507
2026-01-18 7.983869 29.726743 66.579832 123.028902 199.963769 295.668462 418.952167
2026-01-25 7.186644 28.689641 65.974227 123.709728 202.909451 301.845513 429.673500